Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#194
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#184
Pace71.5#137
Improvement+1.6#115

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#215
First Shot-2.0#236
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#176
Layup/Dunks-0.9#222
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#154
Freethrows+0.0#173
Improvement+0.0#176

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#181
First Shot-0.3#182
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#141
Layups/Dunks+0.0#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#109
Freethrows-2.2#313
Improvement+1.5#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 32   @ Cincinnati L 72-97 6%     0 - 1 -9.9 +2.9 -10.6
  Nov 15, 2015 125   UNC Asheville W 90-81 43%     1 - 1 +8.8 +15.9 -7.6
  Nov 21, 2015 149   @ High Point L 69-75 28%     1 - 2 -2.1 -6.2 +4.1
  Nov 27, 2015 124   @ College of Charleston L 56-57 23%     1 - 3 +4.7 -8.0 +12.7
  Nov 30, 2015 45   @ South Carolina L 53-76 8%     1 - 4 -9.5 -16.8 +9.8
  Dec 05, 2015 109   @ Illinois L 68-80 20%     1 - 5 -5.2 -2.5 -2.6
  Dec 12, 2015 105   @ Davidson L 54-87 18%     1 - 6 -25.2 -22.9 -0.4
  Dec 14, 2015 205   Eastern Washington W 97-80 64%     2 - 6 +11.2 +12.7 -2.0
  Dec 20, 2015 144   @ Morehead St. L 52-60 27%     2 - 7 -3.8 -15.5 +11.3
  Dec 23, 2015 34   @ Pittsburgh L 73-79 7%     2 - 8 +8.8 +6.1 +2.7
  Jan 02, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. L 66-82 51%     2 - 9 0 - 1 -18.2 -6.5 -12.5
  Jan 09, 2016 304   VMI W 73-52 83%     3 - 9 1 - 1 +8.7 -2.9 +12.4
  Jan 11, 2016 210   UNC Greensboro W 83-77 OT 65%     4 - 9 2 - 1 -0.1 +2.4 -2.8
  Jan 14, 2016 106   @ Chattanooga L 58-77 18%     4 - 10 2 - 2 -11.5 -10.2 -1.2
  Jan 16, 2016 224   @ Samford L 68-84 45%     4 - 11 2 - 3 -16.8 -4.9 -12.0
  Jan 21, 2016 323   The Citadel L 91-92 87%     4 - 12 2 - 4 -15.3 -11.6 -3.6
  Jan 24, 2016 190   Mercer W 86-80 2OT 60%     5 - 12 3 - 4 +1.3 -6.1 +6.3
  Jan 28, 2016 168   @ Furman L 60-62 33%     5 - 13 3 - 5 +0.4 -7.9 +8.1
  Jan 30, 2016 187   @ Wofford L 66-85 37%     5 - 14 3 - 6 -17.6 -10.2 -6.9
  Feb 04, 2016 210   @ UNC Greensboro L 58-75 43%     5 - 15 3 - 7 -17.2 -16.2 -1.0
  Feb 06, 2016 304   @ VMI W 69-60 66%     6 - 15 4 - 7 +2.6 -1.1 +4.4
  Feb 11, 2016 106   Chattanooga W 67-61 36%     7 - 15 5 - 7 +7.7 -6.0 +13.5
  Feb 13, 2016 224   Samford W 76-71 67%     8 - 15 6 - 7 -1.6 -3.2 +1.4
  Feb 15, 2016 155   @ East Tennessee St. L 77-83 29%     8 - 16 6 - 8 -2.4 +4.2 -6.6
  Feb 18, 2016 190   @ Mercer W 72-65 38%     9 - 16 7 - 8 +8.1 +10.2 -1.0
  Feb 20, 2016 323   @ The Citadel W 102-97 73%     10 - 16 8 - 8 -3.5 +4.9 -9.3
  Feb 25, 2016 187   Wofford W 53-48 59%     11 - 16 9 - 8 +0.6 -14.5 +16.0
  Feb 27, 2016 168   Furman W 73-62 55%     12 - 16 10 - 8 +7.6 +2.4 +5.9
  Mar 05, 2016 187   Wofford W 88-83 2OT 48%     13 - 16 +3.5 +0.8 +2.1
  Mar 06, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 69-73 26%     13 - 17 +0.6 +0.6 +0.0
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%